Condos Reaching TOP in 2026: Where the Completion Wave Lands

A cluster of projects sold during the 2022–2023 launch cycle reaches completion this year. Buyers collect keys, and a few districts absorb several hundred new households almost at once. The effects are worth mapping whether you own nearby, rent nearby, or plan to buy.

The larger 2026 completions

Project	District	Units	Est. TOP
Grand Dunman	D15 (Dakota)	1,008	3Q–4Q 2026
Pinetree Hill	D21 (Ulu Pandan)	520	3Q 2026
Hillock Green	D26 (Lentor)	474	2H 2026
The Lakegarden Residences	D22 (Jurong Lake)	306	Dec 2026

Estimated TOP dates compiled from Huttons' February 2026 project sheet and marketing materials; unit counts corroborated via 99.co's Grand Dunman listing and project pages. Treat every date as a developer estimate: TOP slips by quarters routinely, and one source still lists Grand Dunman at 2027. Smaller freehold projects, including Ardor Residence and The Giverny Residences in the east and Orchard Sophia in District 9, carry 2026 estimates as well.

Where the wave comes from

Completions in 2026 are the delivery end of the 2022–2023 launch cycle, when projects like Grand Dunman and Pinetree Hill sold hundreds of units each over their launch weekends. Construction timelines of three to four years put their handover here. The pattern repeats every cycle: launch activity clusters when developers replenish land banks, and the completions arrive together a few years later, regardless of what the market is doing at delivery time. URA publishes the authoritative forward numbers each quarter in its private residential pipeline statistics, which is where to verify how 2026's completion volume compares with the years around it before drawing island-wide conclusions.

What a completion cluster does to a neighbourhood

Keys arrive in batches, and behaviour follows:

• Rental listings spike locally. Investor-owned units in a 1,000-unit project list within the same few months. Around Dakota, that puts meaningful new supply next to the existing Tanjong Rhu and Marine Parade rental stock; tenants gain bargaining power for a while, and landlords of older units nearby feel it first.
• Resale competition sharpens. A seller of a ten-year-old unit within walking distance of a fresh TOP now competes with never-lived-in stock, sometimes carrying developer discounts. Pricing off transactions from before the completion misreads the market you are actually selling into.
• Upgrader chains trigger. Owners who bought these units in 2022–2023 while holding an HDB flat must now execute their sale plans, feeding flats into the resale market. The mechanics they face are the ones in our guide on selling an HDB before buying a condo, and the flats they release add supply to an HDB resale market already drifting sideways.

The Lentor case study

Hillock Green's estimated completion lands in the same half-year that Lentor Gardens Residences launches, which makes Lentor a live experiment in supply absorption: one project handing over keys while another sells its first units a few streets away. Buyers there can compare a physical, inspectable unit against a showflat promise at similar quantum, a comparison that rarely lines up so neatly. Renters in Lentor should watch the handover months, because first-batch landlords in a new estate price to fill quickly.

How to use the calendar

• Selling near a 2026 completion? Check the project's handover timing and either beat the wave or wait out its first months, and price against current listings rather than last year's caveats.
• Hunting for a rental? Target the months right after a big handover, when supply peaks and first-time landlords compete on price.
• Buying? A project at TOP with remaining developer stock can be negotiated on terms most buyers never learn about; the ABSD-deadline mechanics are in our guide to buying a completed new launch.
• Own a unit in one of these projects? Expect your neighbours to list at the same time you do, for sale and for rent alike. If your plan was to flip at TOP, check your Seller's Stamp Duty position first: the 4-year window runs from your purchase date, and 2023 buyers of these projects are still inside it.

One caution on the dates themselves: TOP estimates in marketing materials are the developer's, and they move. A project marketed as "3Q 2026" can hand over in 1Q 2027 without breaching anything. If your own plans hinge on a specific handover, such as timing an HDB sale to a condo's completion, build a buffer of at least two quarters into the plan and confirm progress with the developer directly rather than relying on a brochure date.

We will update this piece as actual TOP dates land and URA's quarterly completion statistics confirm the timing.

Sources: Huttons "Residential Projects TOP In 2026" project sheet (February 2026), 99.co — Grand Dunman, URA — private residential transactions.